February 2019

Episode #230: Interview with Tien Tzuo

Biography

Tien Tzuo is a Taiwan-born American tech entrepreneur. He is the founder, chairman, and CEO of Zuora, and prior to that was chief strategy officer of Salesforce. Tzuo was born in Taiwan, and when he was 3 years old his family moved to the Flatbush section of Brooklyn. His parents were psychology professors, and his father also worked as an importer-exporter and in real estate.

In 2007, Tzuo left Salesforce to launch Zuora as its founding CEO. The California-based enterprise software company creates and provides subscription management software to help other companies with their subscription-based services. Within a few weeks of its initial public offering on April 12, 2018, Zuora was valued at over $2 billion, and Tzuo's 10% stake in the company was worth an estimated $193 million.

Tzuo's book Subscribed: Why the Subscription Model Will Be Your Company's Future - and What to Do About It, written with Gabe Weisert, was published by Portfolio on June 5, 2018.


The Most Significant Impact On Your Business

With an entire chapter in his book, Subscribed, dedicated to the income statement and the changes that can be made to account for a subscription business, we didn’t have near enough time to dig into this topic. Here are a few important points to consider along with an example of a “subscription” income statement.

Click for a larger version

 How GAAP and the Income Statement Changes

  • The traditional income statement doesn’t differentiate between recurring and nonrecurring dollars

  • Sales and marketing are matched to past goods sold

  • It is a backward looking picture, not forward looking


Collection of Interview Questions

These questions and detailed responses from Tien Tzuo are all available in the audio of the show.  

  • Early on in the book, you write:

    • We prefer outcomes over ownership, we prefer customization not standardization, we want constant improvement not planned obsolescence, we want a new way to engage with businesses, we want services not products.

    • By the end of ownership you don’t mean some utopia where there’s no property, right? Talk about the end of ownership.

  • Ron and I have been having a lot of fun applying your concepts to professional firms. We’ve talked about how most firms now sell a rival asset—the billable hour—to selling a nonrival asset, such as knowledge. What are your thoughts around applying the subscription model to nonrival assets?

  • Do you make a distinction between an “outcome” and an “output”?

  • One of things we hear over and over is “I see how architects, lawyers, etc. could do this…I see how any other business beside me could do this.” Are there some exercises or questions you like to plant to get people thinking differently around the topic of Subscribed?

  • There’s a concept you talk about in the book, swallowing the fish, which is when my revenue curve dips temporarily below the operating expenses curve as people transition to subscriptions. In your work with professional firms, does this apply more, less, or the same than those that sell traditional product?

  • What can we learn from the lessons from some of the oldest subscription companies—The Financial Times, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal, The Economist, all made the transition from the physical to online. What can we in professional services learn from this, since they were going from subscription to subscription (physical to online)?

  • Does Zuora have professional firms in its customer portfolio?

  • I want to run this analogy by you. I look at the medical profession, some of which are transitioning to a Concierge model—similar to a boutique—or a Direct Primary Care model, which has more volume. Does Zuora have medical practices in your customer base at Zuora?

  • What intriguing about this model is your selling insurance, so customers are paying for access, which puts you more in an actuarial pricing model, and perhaps 10% of your customers might use your resources 80%, and the rest are happy to pay for access whether they use you or not, which is the interesting psychology of selling insurance. Does that play a factor in how you sell this model?

  • You talked about Deloitte in Australia and New Zealand, so let’s climb Mt. Everest and try to apply this to a Big 4 accounting firm, or a top 100 law firm. Would you see it across the entire group of services, or just some services with other services priced on some other type of model?

  • You wrote something in the book that I just love: “Focus on margin and efficiency come at the cost of the relationship between the seller and customer.” So many firms only look at the math of the moment rather than the lifetime value of the customer.

  • The idea that we can subscribe to an automobile is fascinating, but you also talked about airlines and how 200 million frequent fliers are up for grabs. How do you see the major carriers adopting a subscription model, at least for their top fliers.

  • When you list all the advantages of this model, the one that hit home is how it breaks down silos. Many firms speak of being “one firm” but it’s not the case. This model really does break down the silos, doesn’t it?

  • I would imagine you see much more innovation from the companies that have adopted this model [because they are more customer-centric]?

  • You talk about three different customer metrics, Recency (last visit), Frequency (how often do they visit), and Volume (how many articles read), in addition, are there other predictive indicators that you’ve ferreted out from your customer base of what predicts a customer won’t churn, or will keep engaging and remain loyal?

  • I loved how you took GAAP to task for not being able to report on this model, and some of the new wording you presented. What’s been the feedback from CFOs on this new income statement and its presentation? [See example of this new income statement below].

  • What does Zuora do, what do you offer?

  • Are you applying any Artificial Intelligence to your offerings?

  • Do you offer consulting to help firms with the change management to help them make this transition?


In Summary

Don’t dismiss the subscription business model because you don’t think it would work for your business. Tien shared several examples from industries that might not feel like a good fit. It is worth exploring. If nothing else, read the book which made both Ron and Ed’s “best of 2018” lists.

Episode #229: Incumbents Hate Competition (But Customers Love It)

Overview

All business people live the ultimate contradiction. They pray at night for supernormal profits and spend their days driving down those profits by competitively supplying customers with more of what they want. As the Austria economist Joseph Schumpeter so poetically phrased it, entrepreneurial innovations make up the “perennial gale of creative destruction,” whereby entire industries have been eliminated due to this dynamism of free markets.

Buggy whip manufacturers didn’t invent the automobile and slide rule manufacturers did not invent the calculator. Both of these innovations, and a plethora of others, rose up and decimated existing stocks of infrastructure and propelled our economy forward.


Be the Ball, Danny…

Businesses are the ultimate change agents in society, ushering in new products, services and ways of conducting our affairs. This role of business is often ignored in the debate over the jobs destroyed in the process, which is the wrong metric: the creativity is more important than the destruction.

For example, Intuit announced assisting bookkeeping at $200/month in addition to its QBO subscription, at the following price points: $210, $217, $230, $260 (self-employed, Freelancer option is $205).

But why would Intuit invest in a dying industry? If anything, this validates the market for bookkeeping, and the human relationship that is required.


Where do we go from here?

Economists like a wide range of price/value points. Markets serve both the rich and poor, and everyone in between — think of the price points available with hotel rooms, cars, restaurants, etc. This puts a premium on positioning.

  • Does the $200 price anchor at too low a price? It could be too high a price for true DIY customers.


The Subscription Economy…Again!

The other overlooked reality of this is it validates the subscription business model. Customers in a free market are free to choose. Does anyone feel guilty using Veem, or buying prescription drugs from Amazon (when they enter that market)? Capitalism is not a “system of competition.” Competition is ubiquitous, no matter the system. Capitalism is a system of voluntary cooperation. Competition does not give rise to voluntary exchange, scarcity does. Competition is a feature, but not the defining feature of capitalism.

The Golden Rule of capitalism: The good fortune of others is also one’s own. It’s not zero-sum.

The impact on jobs is the wrong way to measure the health of a sector. It’s determined by outputs, not jobs. Nobody is nostalgic for bowling pin setter jobs or telephone operators.


So What is YOUR Strategic Response?

Firms need to niche (specialize) as more and more providers enter the market, especially at the low end. Our VeraSage colleague Tim Williams distinguishes between Magic Work and Logic Work. Firms could simply provide bookkeeping for free, along with other advisory (Magic) services.

Focus on customer transformations, which means you are taking responsibility for an outcome, rather than performing tasks. With a transformation, the customer is the product.

Tim has talked about Magic vs Logic before and one of his videos is below. It’s well worth watching. 

Episode #228: Memorable Mentors - Richard P. Feynman

On the show this week, we had a discussion about Richard Feynman and why he is a memorable mentor. Here’s some background to get you started…

Biography

According to Wikipedia, Richard Feynman [May 11, 1918 – February 15, 1988] was an American theoretical physicist, known for his work in the path integral formulation of quantum mechanics, the theory of quantum electrodynamics, and the physics of the superfluidity of supercooled liquid helium, as well as in particle physics for which he proposed the parton model. For his contributions to the development of quantum electrodynamics, Feynman, jointly with Julian Schwinger and Shin'ichirō Tomonaga, received the Nobel Prize in Physics in 1965. In a 1999 poll of 130 leading physicists worldwide by the British journal Physics World he was ranked as one of the ten greatest physicists of all time. He assisted in the development of the atomic bomb during World War II and became known to a wide public in the 1980s as a member of the Rogers Commission, the panel that investigated the Space Shuttle Challenger disaster.


So Many Quotes 

Some people are just “quotable”…that is, their words lend themselves either purposefully or naturally to being easily quoted. Richard Feynman is most certainly one of these individuals. The following quotes were excerpted from the book, The Pleasure of Finding Thing Out: The Best Short Works of Richard P. Feynman, published in 1999 by Richard’s family.

In physics, unlike chess, when you discover new things, it looks more simple.”

 

“The kick in the discovery,” the sudden feeling grasped a wonderful new idea, that there was something new in the world.”

 

He did physics for the fun of it—for the pleasure of finding out how the world works. When he received the pre-dawn call informing him he won Nobel prize, he replied: “You could have told me that in the morning.”

 

He won the Nobel prize for work he did in 1947, at the age of 29.

 

“Why knowing merely the name of something is the same as not knowing anything about it.”

 

“Social science is not a science—it’s a pseudoscience [Hayek called it scientism].

 

“I’d rather have questions I can’t answer than answers I can’t question”

 

“The question of doubt and uncertainty is what is necessary to begin; for if you already know the answer there is no need to gather any evidence about it.”

 

“The question is not whether it’s true or false, but rather how likely it is to be true or false.”

“Without doubt there is no progress, no learning.”

 

“And there’s no learning without posing a question, and a question requires doubt. People search for certainty, but there is no certainty.”

 

Don’t know a problem: ignorant
Have a hunch: uncertain
Pretty sure of result: some doubt

 

“The English call it “muddling through”, it’s the most scientific way of progressing—one must leave the door to the unknown ajar.”

 

“The power of government should be limited; that governments ought not to be empowered to decide the validity of scientific theories, that that is a ridiculous thing for them to try to do.”

 

“A friend of mine, Albert R. Hibbs suggested very wild idea: it would be interesting in surgery if you could swallow the surgeon.”

 

On the Challenger disaster: [we should not] “encourage ordinary citizens to fly in such a dangerous machine, as if it had attained the safety of an ordinary airliner. For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled.”

 

“Learn from science that you must doubt the experts. As a matter of fact, I can also define science another way: Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.”

 

“I’ve learned how to live without knowing. I think my life is fuller because I realize that I don’t know what I’m doing. I’m delighted with the width of the world!”

 

In a chapter titled the “Relation of Science and Religion,” he writes: “I do not believe that science can disprove the existence of God; I think that is impossible. Moral questions are outside the scientific realm.”

Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.

Hell, if I could explain it to the average person, it wouldn't have been worth the Nobel prize.

Adjectival sciences, aren’t. - Attributed.


Some additional quotes…not necessarily from the same book as referenced above:

There are 1011 stars in the galaxy. That used to be a huge number. But it's only a hundred billion. It's less than the national deficit! We used to call them astronomical numbers. Now we should call them economical numbers.

The real problem in speech is not precise language. The problem is clear language. The desire is to have the idea clearly communicated to the other person. It is only necessary to be precise when there is some doubt as to the meaning of a phrase, and then the precision should be put in the place where the doubt exists. It is really quite impossible to say anything with absolute precision, unless that thing is so abstracted from the real world as to not represent any real thing.

No government has the right to decide on the truth of scientific principles, nor to prescribe in any way the character of the questions investigated. Neither may a government determine the aesthetic value of artistic creations, nor limit the forms of literary or artistic expression. Nor should it pronounce on the validity of economic, historic, religious, or philosophical doctrines. Instead it has a duty to its citizens to maintain the freedom, to let those citizens contribute to the further adventure and the development of the human race.

The real question of government versus private enterprise is argued on too philosophical and abstract a basis. Theoretically, planning may be good. But nobody has ever figured out the cause of government stupidity — and until they do (and find the cure), all ideal plans will fall into quicksand.

Do you seriously entertain the idea that without the observer there is no reality? Which observer? Any observer? Is a fly an observer? Is a star an observer? Was there no reality in the universe before 109 B.C. when life began? Or are you the observer? Then there is no reality to the world after you are dead? I know a number of otherwise respectable physicists who have bought life insurance.

If we suppress all discussion, all criticism, proclaiming "This is the answer, my friends; man is saved!" we will doom humanity for a long time to the chains of authority, confined to the limits of our present imagination. It has been done so many times before.

Related to and of Feynman

We didn’t spend the entire show reading Richard Feynman quotes (although we did find a Twitter account that effectively does that). There were a few other topics worth calling out during our discussion this past week.

Episode #227: Free-Rider Friday, January 2019

Ron Thinks ASMR Is Super Bowl Big…

Autonomous Meridian Sensory Response - or ASMR - is an effective tactic in advertising. Case in point from the SuperBowl: “Zoe Kravitz Does ASMR, Whispers About Michelob Ultra’s Pure Gold Organic Beer in Super Bowl Spot,” AdWeek, Kristina Monllos, January 28, 2019

 Here is some more information from Wikipedia to get you started on the subject of ASMR.

Colin-Quinn.jpg

 What do comedy, Trump, and Broadway have in common?

…more than you might think. Colin Quinn’s one-man off-Broadway show is real talk. He tackles some tough subjects and shows guts. Some might even call it counter culture. More here: “The Comedy Counter-Counterculture,” Kyle Smith, National Review, January 29, 2019

Don’t make me craugh. I might spit out my milk. Or cry in despair…

From FEE this past week, we had a great article on the North Korean constitution and a new word for everyone to file away. More here: “North Korea’s Constitution Makes Me Craugh,” FEE, Lawrence W. Reed, January 30, 2019 

Craugh: The temptation to cry and laugh at the same time (Reed conjured up this word while reading North Korea’s constitution)

At one point, we all thought Bezos was just a little crazy…

In hindsight, many of Jeff Bezos’ letters to Amazon shareholders have been great reads. Even years later. This one in particular is from 1997. So get in your Wayback Machine (maybe a Motorola in your pocket and definitely a CRT monitor on your desk) and take a look at this one: “Investor Letters: Jeff Bezos’ 1997 Letter to Amazon Shareholders

From this letter, we have Bezos’ four tenants:

  1. Be obsessed with the customer

  2. Focus on results over process [hat tip to House, M.D.]

  3. Make high quality decisions quickly

  4. Embrace external trends quickly

When Bezos was asked by an employee what Day 2 at Amazon will look like, he said Day 2 is stasis. Followed by irrelevance. Followed by excruciating, painful decline. Followed by death.

For a contrary view on Day 2, see Debbie Madden’s column in Inc.: “Jeff Bezos Says It’s Always Day 1 at Amazon. Here’s the Big Problem With That Philosophy

A Huge Hat Tip to Tim Williams…once again 

Don’t Change Your Practices, Change Your Mind,” Tim Williams, Ignition Consulting Group, January 15, 2019

Speaking of Tim Williams. Do yourself a favor and follow him on LinkedIn. He’s a LinkedIn influencer and every piece he writes is worth reading.

So what did Ed want to talk about this week? Texas.

If Texas were its own country, it would be the third largest oil producer in the world. Heck, if Texas were its own country, by many measures it would be the third largest country in the world too. (Wikipedia link for data points)

Larry Lessig still fights for the commons…

In 1922, Robert Frost wrote a poem. Until now, you had to pay a royalty to use it. Robert Frost poem enters the public domain as of January 1, 2019.

From the Be Careful What You Ask For department… 

Let’s get Caesar involved! (written by Allan Patterson) Go ahead, click the link. You’ll laugh. You might even craugh.

Let’s Get Deep For A Moment…

So what does Jesus have to say about the welfare state? Mr. England has a few thoughts in his article: “Jesus on the redistribution of wealth,” Randy England, Liberty.me, January 15, 2019

Creating An Emotional Connection With Your Dish Detergent…

Something that happens time and time again. That brand WANTS you to love it. That brand WANTS you to feel an emotional connection. But it’s dish detergent so are we expecting too much? Probably. And that’s why “Brand purpose is a lie,” …from Fast Company, January 17, 2019